If counterterrorism, maintaining regional security and alleviating proxy wars are the pillars of U.S. strategy in the Middle East, then the unraveling of the Yemeni state - once a “success“ model - giving rise to Al Qaeda and proxy wars in Sanaa, are nothing short of a horror scenario for the Obama administration.
By now, President Barack Obama would have hoped that his approach of engaging Iran, employing an unprecedented number of drone strikes against Al Qaeda and beefing up the GCC militaries would deal a blow to terrorist organizations and promote regional dialogue. But the exact opposite scenario is playing out in Yemen, Syria, and Iraq, where Al Qaeda has been strengthened by the current chaos, and the level of distrust between Iran and its Sunni neighbors is at an all-time high.
An emboldened AQAP
In the case of Yemen, a strengthened AQAP and a militarized proxy war lays to rest Obama’s model of success thereJoyce Karam