It’s not difficult for Arab Gulf countries to shake hands with Iranian president Hassan Rowhani, sign a friendship agreement with Iran and end the disagreement which lasted for thirty years. Theoretically, this is very easy; however it will be an agreement that is not even worth the ink used to sign it if there are no guarantees. My friend and colleague Turad el-Amri wrote an article dedicating it to me and another colleague and expressed an opinion and vision of a roadmap that defies our warnings of Iran.
If Amri was popular in the Iranian supreme guide’s court or if his word counted at the White House, I may have changed my mind and adopted his suggestion of openness to Iran. However, he’s like me and other writers, his word is all he’s got to sell. Arab Gulf governments cannot bet on the lives of thirty million citizens on the basis of good intentions and personal analysis of events.
In his op-ed published in An7a, he spoke of what he called a Gulf initiative for peace, which is merely “Turad’s initiative for peace!” Such an initiative is worthless if the regional governments do ensure that Iran really changes its hostile policy towards them, diminishes its military capabilities against them or that superpowers are needed to provide military guarantees as a form of insurance against Iranian threats. None of these conditions are present and good intentions are not enough in the real world.
Easy to sign a deal, but...
There’s a long list detailing Iran’s offensives since the 1980s till present from the Philippines to ArgentinaAbdulrahman al-Rashed