Rating agencies Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s late on Friday downgraded Turkey’s sovereign debt rating following the plunge of the country’s currency.
Standard & Poor’s said on it had cut Turkey’s sovereign credit rating deeper into “junk” territory, citing extreme lira volatility and forecasting a recession next year, adding to the country’s woes as it deals with a currency crisis.
The rating agency downgraded the rating by one notch to B+ from BB- and kept Turkey’s outlook at stable in a move which came after the lira lost some 40 percent of its value against the dollar this year.
Moody’s cut Turkey’s sovereign credit rating deeper into “junk” territory on Friday, citing a weakening of Turkeys public institutions and the related reduction in the predictability of Turkish policy making.
It lowered the rating to Ba3 from Ba2 and changed its rating outlook to negative in a move which came amid a currency crisis which has wiped nearly 40 percent off the value of the lira against the dollar this year.
“The downgrade reflects our expectation that the extreme volatility of the Turkish lira and the resulting projected sharp balance of payments adjustment will undermine Turkey’s economy. We forecast a recession next year,” S&P said.
It also forecast that inflation will peak at 22 percent over the next four months and said the weakening lira was putting pressure on the indebted corporate sector and had considerably
increased the funding risk for Turkey’s banks.
“Despite heightened economic risks, we believe the policy response from Turkey’s monetary and fiscal authorities has so far been limited,” the statement added.
The currency crisis has been precipitated by investor alarm about President Tayyip Erdogan’s influence over monetary policy and fueled by a deepening row between Turkey and the United States.