Gold adds to strong monthly gains, stimulus outlook eyed

Gold gained on Wednesday as the metal’s strong performance in July prompted some month-end buying from funds, as traders awaited further clarity from the U.S. Federal Reserve on the timing of any pull-back in stimulus measures.

Bullion, up 8 percent this month, was also helped by some technical buying triggered after prices rose to $1,330 an ounce, breaking through tight trading ranges seen over the last two sessions.

“We see some speculative buying on gold and silver,” said a Hong Kong-based precious metals trader. “Stops were triggered once gold hit $1,330.”

“There is also month-end buying from funds as they window dress their portfolios.”

Spot gold rose 0.4 percent to $1,332.31 an ounce by 3:09am GMT, hovering near its five-week high of $1,347.69 touched last week. U.S. gold gained about $9 to $1,332.50.

Silver also benefited from speculative buying, gaining close to 1 percent.

The July gain – bullion’s biggest monthly increase since January 2012 - was prompted by the Fed’s assurance that it would only start phasing out its monetary stimulus when it was sure the U.S. economy was strong enough to stand on its own.

The Fed will release a statement Wednesday afternoon after its two-day monthly policy meeting.

Traders will be looking for clues as to when the U.S. central bank will start tapering its $85 billion monthly bond purchases.

U.S. GDP data and a private jobs report will also be released on Wednesday, which will help gauge the strength of the economy.

Spot gold is expected to rise to $1,361 per ounce, as it has completed a consolidation and resumed its uptrend, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao said.

Physical buying

Gold premiums in Shanghai have eased from last week, indicating a slowdown in demand.

Shanghai gold was about $16 more than London spot prices, down from over $25 last week.

In India, imports of gold have halted since July 22 when the central bank announced new rules tying imports to exports, sending premiums for scarce stocks soaring.

Traders were quoting a premium of up to $45 an ounce over London spot prices.

Premiums in other parts of Asia were mostly stable as dealers navigate through a seasonally quiet period without any acute shortage of the metal.