It would be a big mistake to assume that the end of Syrian crisis is near. Those forces loyal to president Bashar al-Assad will fight to the bitter end in a protracted war, stated a colleague of mine.
Actually, several reports and analyses that appeared during the past year made it clear that the “inner core” of the Syrian regime’s military and security apparatus has remained almost intact. Even the gradual weakening of the regime’s grip on Syria’s cities and countryside has not drastically affected the destructive capabilities of that power-wielding circle.
This “inner core” is composed of individuals to the president, who boast an advanced arsenal of weapons.
No wonder that a security-based mafia-style regime like that of Syria has been able to murder 60.000 of its own people.Eyad Abu Shakra
In this instance it is worth remembering that the official U.N. casualty figures put the number of those killed at more than 60.000. Furthermore, Lebanon’s minister of Social affairs said before the Arab foreign ministers’ meeting last week that the number of Syrians displaced by the war, and now living in Lebanon, is about 200,000. He added that by next June the number is projected to more than double.
With this in mind, let us take into account the numbers and situation of those taking refuge in Jordan, Turkey and Iraq, and the victims of the internal “forced migration,” where reliable reports talk of more than a million refugees.
Still, in spite of the above, the Syrian president and his functionaries have continued to insist on their own version of the events. This may prove that the regime is fighting a “war of survival.”