The Iraqis are gearing up for another war against ISIS, the second to occur during the rule of Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi after he won the battle of Tikrit. Several army forces, security forces and Shiite popular mobilization militias, as well as some Sunni tribes, are gathering to head to Anbar province. There’s more to the battle than Anbar and the battle is not limited to the ISIS as Abadi’s real rival in Baghdad is former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki who is launching a widely-inciting political and media campaign against him. Abadi seems confused and is sometimes adopting contradictory stances due to apparent pressures exerted on him
The prime minister stands between two fierce rivals and is in big trouble. If he loses the war in Anbar, his political rivals will pursue him in Baghdad and ISIS will expand its influence. Victory will not be easy to achieve with the protests and threats made by his rivals in Baghdad as it requires depending on the Sunni tribes who are most capable of defending their areas.
Abadi has retreated from arming the Sunni tribes and has only provided them with simple weapons due to pressures by extremist Shiite parties. To resolve the problem, the Americans volunteered to perform the task of arming the Anbar tribes who oppose ISIS but after his rivals criticized him, Abadi had to object to that and the American government backed down.
All this fighting will firstly be at the expense of the Iraqis and the Iraqi state and will be in the interest of the ISIS and Iran’s proxies. Anbar’s battle is part of a war that may prolong as the terrorist organization resides in several areas, such as the city of Mosul which is still occupied by ISIS and which will be the most difficult to liberate as the Iraqi government may have to seek the help of countries like the U.S. and perhaps Turkey and Iran to restore it. Even after Mosul is liberated, there are several areas which will take a long time to liberate.
If Abadi loses the war…
The prime minister stands between two fierce rivals and is in big troubleAbdulrahman al-Rashed