Khamenei’s fatwa: Lebanon after Yemen

The war in Yemen has under the spotlight all over again following reports that American fighter jets targeted al-Qaeda posts in South Yemen. American soldiers clashed with the organization’s members in the town of Yashbum in Shabwa as part of a strategy Washington says was adopted by the previous US administration.

Does this news indicate a development in how America will deal with crises in the region, in a manner similar to what is unfolding in the war against ISIS in Iraq?

According to diplomatic sources, there is an American orientation toward ending the stalemate in the Yemeni war, which has been on for years. As a result, the coalition led by Saudi Arabia will be provided with an international cover to confront Iranian intervention. Progress made in this war will defeat the Iranian role and this will have repercussions for all countries in the region, particularly on Lebanon.

Since the destructive war in Aleppo ended, with a sweeping victory for the axis led by Moscow, developments in Syria and then in Iraq, are being organized within the framework of a Russian-US agreement

Ahmed Ayash

During the past 48 hours, the Fars news agency has reported that Ahmad Karimpour, a military adviser to the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ elite unit al-Quds Force, confirmed that the Iranian Islamic Republic “is ready to decisively and destructively respond to any military aggression”. When the commander of the Islamic revolution says this, and that seven minutes is what it takes to destroy Tel Aviv and Haifa, then there is no joking here.

Iranian daily al-Vefagh – in an article entitled “If the war happens, new victories for the axis of resistance” – says that “for more than 10 years now, the axis of resistance could have launched more than 10,000 missiles in a minute. What’s certain is that its capabilities in this field have now increased and that this capability is no longer limited to missiles because new and unknown arms will be part of the new exercise.”

‘Divine victory’

It does not seem that Tehran wants to keep the results of the war in Yemen within its geographical reach. The Revolutionary Guards’ threats will be based on the 2006 war experience between Lebanon and Israel and which, according to the description of Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah, ended with a “divine victory.”

Since the destructive war in Aleppo ended, with a sweeping victory for the axis led by Moscow, developments in Syria and then in Iraq, are being organized within the framework of a Russian-US agreement. According to diplomatic sources, things are moving toward finalizing the war in Iraq at the hands of the Americans and toward finalizing the war in Syria at the hands of the Russians.

Iran’s share in the results of these two wars will not equal all the investments the Iranian Supreme Leader made over the course of long years as part of the Persian “crescent” project, which extends from the Caspian Sea to the Mediterranean Sea.

A Lebanese official estimates that the summary of America’s strict policy during Donald Trump’s presidential era will be against Imam Khamenei who will once again count on Nasrallah’s missiles.
This article is also available in Arabic.
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Ahmed Ayash is a writer for An-Nahar newspaper. He tweets @ahmadayash3.

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Last Update: 11:10 KSA 14:10 - GMT 11:10
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