Tensions are rising between the United States and Iran, but war is still unlikely – especially as the coronavirus pandemic gives both countries increasingly dire domestic problems to manage. If the tensions do escalate into a regional conflict, it will likely be as a result of miscalculations or mistakes rather than deliberate strategy – and only then if the miscalculations are lethal enough to compel a cycle of retaliation and violence.
Iraqi army soldiers inspect the destruction at an airport complex under construction in Karbala, Iraq, Friday, March 13, 2020. (AP)
Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy vessels alongside U.S. Naval Forces in the Arabian Gulf. (Reuters)
In this photo released by the official website of the Office of the Iranian Presidency, cabinet members wearing face masks attend their meeting in Tehran, Iran on March 18, 2020. (AP)