Recep Tayyip Erdogan's done more than any single Turkish politician to realize democracy for his country, but his longevity threatens to undo his legacy--and torpedo the rise of Turkey to the biggest leagues. Should the country grind to a halt, the Middle East is unlikely to enjoy much good news this year.
A fragmentented Middle East
The new discourse of Islam will have to be fragmented, multipolar, mobile. It’ll be skewed towards South Asia and Southeast Asia, where the numbers are—a more democratic planet means a more democratic, Muslim umma, or Muslim nation.Haroon Moghul
While other states all around fall apart, there will be no one-state solution. But there’s only so long you can deny a problem before the problem denies you.