Faulty claims? Trump gets his Mideast history wrong
In trying to outline how he would defeat the threat, Trump himself launched several false claims on Monday
Donald Trump painted the Middle East as an oasis of stability before Hillary Clinton’s tenure as secretary of state, arguing that she and President Barack Obama “launched” ISIS group onto the world.
In trying to outline how he would defeat the threat, Trump himself launched several other false claims on Monday.
He said Clinton and Obama sought to install a democracy in Libya and pushed for immediate change in leadership in Syria, accusing the pair of embarking on a “nation-building” strategy that few Republicans would ascribe to Obama’s intervention-averse administration.
In contrast, he advocated his own vision for US foreign policy that included the suggestion of a US takeover of Iraq’s oil reserves.
A look at some of Trump’s comments and how they adhered to the facts:
Trump: “President Obama and Hillary Clinton should have never attempted to build a democracy in Libya, to push for immediate regime change in Syria or to support the overthrow of Mubarak in Egypt.”
The Reality: Trump seems to be confusing Obama and Clinton’s limited interventions, and sometimes non-interventions, with President George W. Bush’s post-9/11 regime-change efforts.
When the US led a coalition to bomb Libya in March 2011, it was sold as a humanitarian intervention. Obama vowed not to deploy US troops on the ground and focused primarily on protecting Libyan civilians from dictator Moammar Qaddafi’s military forces. He didn’t promise a stable democracy there, like Bush did in invading Iraq.
Five months into Syria’s conflict, Obama urged President Bashar Assad to step aside. But Obama did very little to realize such a result, to the great dismay of his GOP critics and even some in his own administration.
To this day, the United States maintains its call for a Syria without Assad, even as it works with the Syrian leader’s closest partners to try to engineer a unity government that would keep Assad in power, perhaps indefinitely.
While Trump is right that Libya, Syria and Egypt appeared more stable seven years ago, his analysis leaves out the simmering resentment for autocratic governments that would bubble over during the 2011 Arab Spring. That cannot be ascribed to Obama and Clinton.
Trump: on Clinton’s role in the Libya campaign: “With one episode of bad judgment after another, Hillary Clinton’s policies launched ISIS onto the world stage.”
The Reality: The U.S.-led military campaign in Libya created a security vacuum and political chaos. But it took three years before ISIS emerged in Iraq and Syria, and there is no connection between those developments.
The group has its roots in a militant organization known as al-Qaida in Iraq, which found haven in Syria after being nearly decimated in Iraq in 2007-2009.
Some experts say the instability in Libya opened a door for the Islamic State to spread to North Africa, particularly after it suffered heavy losses in Syria and Iraq in 2015-16. But the group is facing severe setbacks there, too.
Trump: on the Iraq war: “I have been clear for a long time that we should not have gone in. But I have been just as clear in saying what a catastrophic mistake Hillary Clinton and President Obama made with the reckless way in which they pulled out.”
The Reality: Trump did publicly say he wanted US troops out years earlier than Obama pulled them out.
He said in March 2007 the US should declare victory and withdraw troops because Iraq was going to get further bogged down in civil strife.
He said the US was “keeping a lid” on the situation by being there, but that when the US leaves, “it’s all going to blow up” so the US might as well leave “because you just are wasting time.”
Trump: “I have long said that we should have kept the oil in Iraq ... In the old days, when we won a war, to the victor belonged the spoils.”
The Reality: While Trump argues against nation-building, he seems to be suggesting the US should have seized Iraq and its natural resources as an American colony. He ignores the fact that Iraq is a sovereign country and the US at no point threatened to take possession of the country.
Trump says he would have used the money from oil sales to pay for the care of wounded soldiers. But the mission would require a permanent occupation, or at least until the oil runs out, and a large presence of American soldiers to guard sometimes isolated oil fields and infrastructure.
Trump’s claim that the US has taken “spoils” in previous wars also raises questions.
After major wars, the 240-year-old United States has tended to pour money and aid back into countries it has fought to help re-establish governments and services.
The US still has troops in Germany and Japan, with the permission of those nations, but it did not take possession of their oil or other natural resources.
To achieve Trump’s stated goal of destroying Islamic State militants’ revenue stream, the US has bombed oil facilities in Iraq. The bombing was designed to render the oil facilities inoperable, but not destroy them, with the notion that Iraq could rebuild its own economy with their oil when the conflict ended.
Trump: “Anyone who cannot name our enemy is not fit to lead our country. Anyone who cannot condemn the hatred, oppression and violence of radical Islam lacks the moral clarity to serve as our president.”
The Reality: Obama doesn’t use the phrase “radical Islamic terrorism,” but he condemns the group harshly and regularly. He has characterized ISIS fighters as “thugs,” ‘‘thieves” and terrorists.
Obama says he doesn’t want to connect the group to the religion of Islam. Doing so, he says, would unnecessarily anger Arab allies fighting the group, alienate Muslims at home and validate the claims of the enemy. “ISIL is not ‘Islamic.’ he has said, using his preferred acronym for the group.
Trump’s actual opponent in the presidential race, Clinton, is more comfortable with such terminology.
She has used the terms “radical jihadism” and “radical Islamism.”
Trump: on one of the San Bernardino shooters: “She wanted to support very openly jihad online... A neighbor saw suspicious behavior, bombs on the floor and other things, but didn’t warn authorities because they said they didn’t want to be accused of racial profiling.”
The Reality: There is no such evidence.
Jarrod Burguan, the city’s police chief, says no one reported knowing anything about what husband-and-wife shooters Syed Farook and Tashfeen Malik had been plotting, even after the Dec. 2, 2015, terror attack that killed 14 people at a luncheon for county government employees.
Instead, some neighbors told investigators after the attack that they had general concerns about people “who looked a little different” in the neighborhood and didn’t feel it was appropriate to say anything.
That’s a far cry from seeing bombs on the floor or identifying other suspicious behavior.
Trump: “I had previously said that NATO was obsolete because it failed to deal adequately with terrorism. Since my comments, they have changed their policy and now have a new division focused on terror threats.
The Reality: NATO established a Defense Against Terrorism program in 2004, long before Trump ran for president. And its latest efforts in Iraq were already under discussion when Trump criticized the alliance in March.
Trump’s comments reflected a broader frustration of the US and others that NATO members weren’t playing an active role against ISIS in Iraq and Syria.
At a July summit, the alliance agreed to contribute aircraft and conduct training in Iraq. It also has stepped up intelligence coordination. No one has cited Trump as a motivation for such decisions.
Trump: The Islamic State “has a new base of operations” in Libya.
The Reality: Islamic State militants have tried to establish such a base in the city of Sirte. But a US-supported military offensive in Libya this year has all but driven the group out of its former headquarters there.
US officials estimated at one point as many as 6,000 extremists in the North African country. Latest estimates put only a “couple hundred” ISIS militants left in Sirte. Libyan officials say the city is 70 percent liberated and ISIS militants are cornered in a few locations.