Egyptian thinker predicted fall of Iranian revolutionary regime 33 years ago

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Egyptian thinker Dr. Farag Foda predicted the fall of the Iranian regime, and the rise of the army as an alternative and potential force.

He said that the fascist regime of Tehran is exploiting religion for political gain and government control, but has no political or economic programs, which would eventually lead to its collapse.

Dr. Foda predicted 33 years ago that Iran’s regime will seek to spread strife, divisions, murder and destruction which will lead to its downfall.

In his book ‘Before the Fall’, the first edition of which was published in 1985, Foda asserted: "The Iranian revolution began from the mosques in Iran on the day that the imams and mullahs exploited religion in the face of the ruling authority under the pretext of religious concerns; calling for civil disobedience and destroying the state system.”

He continued: “The goal was clear and represented the establishment of a religious state. The method was clear in mixing politics with religion, and the goal was focusing on the religious street through speeches which were turned into cassettes and bought by simple people whose social status was so vulnerable that the destruction of what already existed became the fastest route to heaven.”

“The focus in the political street - according to Foda – was centered on young people who did not see any hope or security in the near future. They had nothing to lose and were tempted to encourage the entire people to commit collective suicide. Thus, the integration of the Iranian terror box was between an imam leader, politicized mosques, a street fraught with problems, and young adventurers who have lost hope in the future, so they risked the future of the country.”

"When this box was integrated in Iran, everything collapsed. Intellectuals did not do anything nor did they defend their country because they had long been defeated when they preferred to remain silent instead of confrontation and became isolated.”

Political instability

The Islamic rule in Iran has led to political instability. The Iranian revolution has ignited a regional conflict with many countries in the region, especially since the success of the mullahs of Iran has pushed the religious and Islamic currents in the region and the Arab world to work and seek to achieve the Iranian success and the ability to control the government.

Foda predicted that in the case of the fall of religious currents in the region, led by Iran and Egypt, the military choice is the alternative possible force, stressing that dealing with it will be easy.

He also revealed that Iran would create strife in the Muslim and Arab world, and would use religion to try to export its revolution and expand its empire, and would rely on armed youth militias.

He pointed out that the growth of the independent economic entity of the religious stream as a result of voluntary supporters of religious leaders as "five" in Iran strengthens this trend, adding that slum neighborhoods are a fertile ground for religious political extremism, and the inhabitants of these neighborhoods played the main role in the popular revolution that swept through Tehran.

Top economic expert

Farag Foda was born in August 1945 in the town of Zarqa in Damietta Governorate, north of Egypt. He received his bachelor's degree in agricultural economics from Ain Shams University in June 1967. In the same year, his brother, Lieutenant Muhieddin Foda, who was one year younger than him, died on the June 5, 1967 war. His body was not found.

He worked as a dean at the Faculty of Agriculture at Ain Shams University. He received a master's degree in agricultural economics in 1975 and a Ph.D. in agricultural economics from Ain Shams University in December 1981. His thesis was entitled: “Economics of rationalizing the use of irrigation water in Egypt.”

He worked as a teacher at the University of Baghdad in Iraq, and was one of the world's top economic experts . He then founded the Foda Advisory Group specialized in project evaluation studies in parallel with his teaching profession.

He was assassinated by extremists on June 8, 1992.