In Europe, some have speculated, specifically those in agreement with Iran, that the Khomeini regime has survived the public’s recent protest storm, which sparked anger among the regime and its followers in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen.
The Khomeini regime suffers from an infrastructural problem. It has lost its connection with the Iranians, mainly the youth, which make up the largest demographic bloc in the population. The issue is not a conspiracy from the Saudis or the Americans as Iranian propaganda like to claim, but indeed a flaw in the regime and those in charge of it.
These are not my own words, but those of Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, in his indirect response to the Supreme Guide Khamenei’s statements made days after the protests – a time when he felt that his Revolutionary Guards will suppress the angry protesters.
It wasn’t Rouhani alone who said this, with pride and modesty that is, but also other symbolic figures who had served the regime or the “Khomeini Revolution” from its beginnings. It also included those who led the Green Revolution in 2009, Mousavi, Karroubi and others.
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This revolution that erupted from within the regime, but soon died out after Barack Obama failed it, with his political pessimism and strategic patience. We later understood that the Green Movement’s failure in Iran and for the Syrians was a bribe to those who “serve” Khomeini regime in order to pass Obama’s deal with them.
Flaws in the system will not be cured by Obama’s previous gifts, nor with his “White heirs” in Europe, because there’s a deep disease from the core.
Mehdi Karoubi, the former president of the Iranian parliament and a leader of the Green Movement, a man who has been under house arrest for seven years, has openly attacked Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in a letter blaming him for the situation in Iran. This is because he has been at the core of Iranian responsibility, since the beginning of the Khomeini Revolution, occupying the posts of minister, president and a guide. The letter was published on Iranian news website “Saham News” affiliated with Etemad Meli or the National Trust Party, headed by Karoubi.
In the letter, Karoubi -- a historical figure in the Khomeini Republic -- also recalled what Khomeini cautioned in the early years of the revolution. “You must be afraid of the day when people understand what you have in mind, then it’s going to be then end all of us,” he said.
Karoubi strongly criticized Khamenei, saying that the political, economic, cultural and social situation in Iran is “a direct result of his strategic and operational policies.” He wrote to Khamenei saying: “The regime is now in a downward spiral.”
We are not saying that the system will fall similarly to that of the Roman Ceausescu regime. However, the collapse is inevitable, bit by bit, even if it finally leaning on the Supreme Guide’s cane.
This article was first published in Arabic.
Saudi journalist Mashari Althaydi presents Al Arabiya News Channel’s “views on the news” daily show “Maraya.” He has previously held the position of a managing senior editor for Saudi Arabia & Gulf region at pan-Arab newspaper Asharq al-Awsat. Althaydi has published several papers on political Islam and social history of Saudi Arabia. He appears as a guest on several radio and television programs to discuss the ideologies of extremist groups and terrorists. He tweets under @MAlthaydy
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