President Trump’s withdrawal from Obama’s nuclear agreement with Iran did not come as a surprise. On the contrary, it would have been surprising if he had allowed the agreement to be extended and did not withdraw.
President Trump is a man who does not believe in half-measures. If he says he will do something, he does it, and this approach is evident in a lot of his decisions.
Beginning of the end
The question now is what will the reaction of Tehran, which preoccupied the world with its loud claims of courage that are nothing but a verbal war directed towards its citizens who suffer from catastrophic social deterioration, poverty and sickness, be? The regime has choked Iranian citizens ever since Khomeini took over power in the latter half of the last century.
I assert that on this historical day, May 10, 2018, the countdown has begun, not just for the collapse of the Vilayat-e-Faqih regime in Iran, but also for the collapse of political Islamization, both in its Shiite and Sunni manifestation, which has been instrumental in spreading terrorism in the region and the world.
Iran has nothing but non-Iranian Shiite militias, which it hires to fight on its behalf. Its end goal is to establish the Persian Empire on the lines of the Shiite Safavids, as was the case with the empires and kingdoms of the Middle Ages.
I have been certain – and I have mentioned this is previous articles – that any theocratic state cannot conform to the conditions of state in the modern times and that the fate of Vilayat al-Faqih state in Iran will collapse and then vanish. I believe that we are now witnessing the beginning of its inevitable end.
I wish from the bottom of my heart that the consequences of the fallout phase do not last for long and that it happens without bloodshed, unlike what had happened with similar regimes when they collapsed.
I have been certain that any theocratic state cannot conform to the conditions of state in modern times and that the fate of Vilayat al-Faqih state in Iran will collapse and then vanishMohammed Al Shaikh
The blunder of supporting Assad
I believe that Iran has committed several blunders — the most important one that would be the most important reason for entering the phase of collapse has been its unplanned interference in Syria to rescue Assad.
The Israelis felt that the Iranians’ presence at their borders with Syria is a threat, which they cannot tolerate no matter what the consequences are. It is known that Israel’s security — as they call it — is a ‘red line.’
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The Israelis will thus never allow the Iranians to violate or harm it. The Persian mullahs’ arrogance, however, made them imagine they are an invincible power and that they’ve occupied four Arab capitals and are thus closer to achieving the dream of a Safavid Persian Empire.
However, Syria has been their graveyard as their militias and Revolutionary Guards leaders have been bombed and killed by Israeli strikes. They are left with no option but to yield and give up. If they dare take any military reprisal, the consequences will be dire in every sense of the word.
harmful theocratic state
Trump has re-imposed the economic boycott, not only on the theocratic state but on anyone who deals or supports the Vilayat-e-Faqih state, which has raised a lot of questions about the fate of this harmful theocratic state. This storm might soon spread fire and burn everything down.
All that is needed is a spark and their state will vanish. This might happen quickly or may take some time; however, the indicators of the inevitable fall, which I mentioned in my previous articles, had begun to loom in the horizon. The moment will come when all it would take is a single matchstick.
Khomeini’s politicized revolution encouraged many Sunni opportunists to replicate a Sunni version of this experience. The failure of their role model, however, would be a failure of all the spin-offs of this experience.
This article is also available in Arabic.
Mohammed Al Shaikh is a Saudi writer with al-Jazirah newspaper. He tweets @alshaikhmhmd.