Iran, a tiger on the loose

Abdulrahman al-Rashed
Abdulrahman al-Rashed
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No one will negotiate with Iranians ending the chaos that their country has brought about to the region for 30 years. All talks are now focused on halting the proliferation of nuclear weapons and even this will certainly fail.

Iran is a state that is dependent on fighting since the survival of its regime is based on the last possible war that can be fought or funded. Iran has used conventional weapons in the management of absurd wars and will not hesitate to use nuclear weapons at any given moment. Although everyone is making fun of this possibility, arguing that Iran is smarter than committing such nuclear stupidity and that no one has done so since World War II. But we must remember that we live in the real world in which academic theories are not enough. The world remained silent about Indian and Pakistani nuclear weapons because both countries do not have a record of external violence that could be feared.

When a U.S. official was asked about the reason behind their failure in preventing al-Qaeda’s attacks on Sept. 11, 2001, he said that no one had ever thought that al-Qaeda could reach that point and cross the Atlantic Ocean. It destroyed two skyscrapers and the Pentagon, and planned to destroy the White House and the Capitol. In my opinion, there is not a big difference between al-Qaeda and leaders of the regime in Tehran. They have the same extremist religious motives; the former wants to go to paradise and the latter is preparing for the emergence of the Mahdi. What makes pressing on the nuclear bomb button unlikely to happen? I challenge anyone to confirm that it is impossible, especially that we are fully aware of the nature of the regime that is based on external battles.

The world is caught between a rock and a hard place when it comes to dealing with Iran and the end result will be that Iran will rely more heavily on violence and wars.

Abdulrahman al-Rashed

We are not just speculating here because Iran today is indeed the fulcrum of international violence with a 3-decade-long bloody record, which has no qualitative or measurable boundaries. Iran’s activities reached the Philippines in the east and Argentina in the west. Despite the social and economic unrest, Iran is practically still active in direct or indirect wars in the Gulf, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, Sudan and Nigeria, among others. This is why we were surprised that the American administration would believe the same regime that has already fooled previous administrations since the nineties; the Iranians consistently claim that they are committed and honest, only for the world to discover another underground facility to continue its nuclear activity.

Thanks to the negotiations with Iran, we are now facing two possibilities: the first is enabling Ayatollah to produce a nuclear weapon due to the U.S. administration’s slowdown in implementing its threat and bomb the nuclear project. The second possibility is that Iran will be without a nuclear weapon but then, it will be unrestrained and will become out of control free from international restriction imposed on it over the years, and thus it will become more violent.

In my opinion, the world is caught between a rock and a hard place when it comes to dealing with Iran and the result at the end will be that Iran will rely more heavily on violence and wars. The objective behind the pressures on Tehran was to change the regime’s attitudes towards conventional or nuclear weapons. The sanctions have put high pressure so far on the Iranian leadership, which can no longer produce, sell or create havoc around the world.

The embargo forced Iran to negotiate but only up to a level that would satisfy Obama, not to the level of making the required changes.

The Obama administration believes that the negotiations will lead to the suspension of the nuclear weapon enrichment, without taking into consideration the rest of the possibilities. After that Iran will remain a tiger on the loose, generating much chaos and horror.

This article was first published in Asharq al-Awsat on Nov. 6, 2013.

Abdulrahman al-Rashed is the General Manager of Al Arabiya News Channel. A veteran and internationally acclaimed journalist, he is a former editor-in-chief of the London-based leading Arab daily Asharq al-Awsat, where he still regularly writes a political column. He has also served as the editor of Asharq al-Awsat’s sister publication, al-Majalla. Throughout his career, Rashed has interviewed several world leaders, with his articles garnering worldwide recognition, and he has successfully led Al Arabiya to the highly regarded, thriving and influential position it is in today.

Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not reflect Al Arabiya English's point-of-view.
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