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The war with Iran has not ended, even if parts of the battlefield have fallen silent and negotiations have moved into drafting rooms. What has ended is the assumption that American military power......
From Pax Americana to Pax Irana: Did Trump do it by accident or by design?Donald Trump entered the war with Iran under the banner of restoring Pax Americana. He ended up opening the door to what the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps sees as Pax Irana: influence over the......
The ‘great settlement’: Trump’s financial heist, Iran’s strategic heistDonald Trump delayed when decisive action was required. He retreated from pressure points that gave Washington leverage. He weakened American bargaining power before securing American objectives. He......
Trump and Iran’s proxies: Transitional deals and risk of legitimizing the proxy doctrinePresident Donald Trump risks granting Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) what it failed to secure through war: Renewed political legitimacy for its regional proxies, from Hezbollah in......
Iran after the war: Victorious or defeated, how will IRGC take revengeIf Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) emerges from this war as a partner in power or in control of its levers, then the United States will have waged a war against Iran only to end up......
Trump and Iran: Who is responsible for the mutilated war and the wrong calculations?The predicament facing US President Donald Trump in the confrontation with the Islamic Republic of Iran is no longer confined to the nuclear file, the postponed military strike, or the Strait of......
Trump-Xi summit: China gives neither green light nor red card on IranThe recent summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping did not merely produce trade and economic understandings. It also signaled a strategic truce between the world’s......
China’s long game and Trump’s Iran gambleIran is not the decisive factor in the reshaping of the balance of power between the United States and China, where regional wars and the files of oil, energy, and sanctions are turning into tools in......